Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.501892 0.584373 0.675782 0.784554 0.910424 1.051470 1.221503
2025-02-16 0.366056 0.476251 0.612015 0.791369 1.021922 1.308205 1.690674
2025-02-23 0.290300 0.408902 0.566485 0.790736 1.101292 1.515888 2.111322
2025-03-02 0.238096 0.357884 0.527167 0.783123 1.159695 1.692800 2.504530
2025-03-09 0.202218 0.321583 0.499523 0.783041 1.222508 1.876851 2.924480
2025-03-16 0.168279 0.281610 0.458902 0.755057 1.236171 1.985719 3.241011
2025-03-23 0.157295 0.275522 0.468623 0.805081 1.375013 2.299423 3.910674
2025-03-30 0.135013 0.246984 0.437507 0.783024 1.391930 2.417861 4.274784
2025-04-06 0.115964 0.220994 0.406727 0.756464 1.396135 2.513010 4.607150
2025-04-13 0.100459 0.199011 0.379757 0.732416 1.400437 2.606641 4.944633
2025-04-20 0.091394 0.187749 0.370602 0.739432 1.461327 2.806262 5.495052
2025-04-27 0.087495 0.185960 0.378880 0.780293 1.590330 3.144161 6.341347
2025-05-04 0.081364 0.179056 0.376808 0.801539 1.685742 3.432985 7.135032
2025-05-11 0.074665 0.170057 0.369467 0.811351 1.759874 3.689714 7.897918
2025-05-18 0.067867 0.159802 0.358058 0.810853 1.811949 3.906836 8.603166
2025-05-25 0.061300 0.149085 0.344197 0.803058 1.847039 4.091927 9.261059
2025-06-01 0.056091 0.140737 0.334430 0.802974 1.898734 4.317313 10.031209
2025-06-08 0.049525 0.128176 0.313433 0.774292 1.881898 4.390694 10.470253
2025-06-15 0.048748 0.129769 0.325680 0.825564 2.057009 4.912314 11.992232
2025-06-22 0.043632 0.119607 0.308393 0.802956 2.052929 5.022307 12.562214
2025-06-29 0.038851 0.109612 0.290216 0.775735 2.034063 5.095068 13.050513
2025-07-06 0.034735 0.100800 0.273886 0.751086 2.018516 5.173739 13.561756
2025-07-13 0.032524 0.096933 0.269902 0.758277 2.085702 5.463021 14.634863